What are my chances at Howard University?

Could I get into the following colleges: Howard University Hampton University New York University With the following criteria: Freshman GPA: 1.0 (no AP's) - My dad died a few days before school started. Sophomore GPA: 2.2465 (no AP's) - My mom re-married. Junior GPA: 4.28 (3 AP's) Senior GPA: 4.612 (5 AP's) Overall: 3.034 (weighted) Top 50% of class. Extra Curriculars: Mock Trial - 4 years Debate Team - 3 years Character Counts - 4 years Environmental Club (founder and president) - 4 years NAACP - 4 years ACT-SO (nationals in essay writing and speech) - 2 years National Honor Society (senior year) - 1 year S.A.D.D. - 2 years Track (JV) - 2 years Cross Country (JV) - 1 year ACT: 33 I'm an Ethiopian-American female. Desired Major: African-American Studies and History with a Sociology minor. So my grades pretty much suck, but what do you guys think are my chances? Especially at NYU; that's my dream school. Please be completely honest; don't post answers like "You can do whatever you set your mind to." Also, if you post a reply, please don't just say something like "I think you have a shot." Give me REASONS you think I have a shot; is it a reach? A match? What? PLEASE reply, everyones opinion is valued. Thanks! =)